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Scanning the Horizon - Scenarios for 2023

There was a time when forecasting was a
relatively simple pursuit. The most reliable
approach was to assume that the coming
year would turn out much like the previous
one.

Many corporate chieftains and money
managers owed their glittering reputations
to this simple rule of thumb. No longer. In
the past three years, the world has been
rocked by a string of unexpected and
epoch-defining events. Little wonder that
executives, policymakers and financiers are
anxiously scanning the horizon to work out
what is coming next.

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